Minority Report

Bridgeport, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mono County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—21°3%
US model (GFS)61°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°30°0%
German model (ICON)59°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°20°0%
The average59°26°1%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 26°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 79%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°13°93%
US model (GFS)52°33°81%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°100%
German model (ICON)50°34°93%
Canadian model (GEM)53°18°26%
The average51°26°79%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 22°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 16%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°16°1%
US model (GFS)43°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°18°37%
German model (ICON)48°27°28%
Canadian model (GEM)52°19°11%
The average47°22°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 26°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°16°54%
US model (GFS)51°36°20%
European model (ECMWF)54°27°2%
German model (ICON)57°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)58°19°0%
The average54°26°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.