Minority Report

Bridgeton, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 64%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°48%
US model (GFS)66°48°29%
European model (ECMWF)63°50°100%
German model (ICON)62°52°100%
Canadian model (GEM)69°46°43%
The average65°47°64%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 80%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°63%
US model (GFS)50°36°57%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°99%
German model (ICON)52°38°88%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°92%
The average50°36°80%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)45°35°27%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°21%
German model (ICON)48°37°78%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°72%
The average47°35°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)49°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°4%
German model (ICON)50°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°33°0%
The average50°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.