Minority Report

Brigham City, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Box Elder County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)58°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average57°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°97%
US model (GFS)63°41°38%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°71%
German model (ICON)61°47°33%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°24%
The average61°42°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°97%
US model (GFS)54°37°94%
European model (ECMWF)46°41°97%
German model (ICON)52°40°93%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°95%
The average50°38°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°1%
US model (GFS)51°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°0%
The average52°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.