Minority Report

Brighton, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Adams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)69°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°36°0%
German model (ICON)69°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°31°0%
The average68°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°35°0%
US model (GFS)65°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°35°0%
German model (ICON)64°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°26°0%
The average63°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°17%
US model (GFS)56°33°18%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°43%
German model (ICON)52°35°33%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°29%
The average52°34°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°1%
US model (GFS)58°34°17%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°8%
German model (ICON)59°30°24%
Canadian model (GEM)56°29°23%
The average57°33°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.