Bristol Bay Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bristol Bay Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 27° Low 22° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 27° | 18° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 27° | 23° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 27° | 26° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 26° | 23° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 27° | 23° | 52% |
| The average | 27° | 22° | 73% |
High 26° Low 20° Rain 40%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 26° | 18° | 45% |
| US model (GFS) | 26° | 21° | 72% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 27° | 20° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 25° | 22° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 26° | 18° | 29% |
| The average | 26° | 20° | 40% |
High 25° Low 17° Rain 15%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 25° | 13° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 26° | 15° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 25° | 20° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 26° | 19° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 25° | 16° | 10% |
| The average | 25° | 17° | 15% |
High 19° Low 13° Rain 13%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 22° | 15° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 17° | 12° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 20° | 15° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 20° | 14° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 16° | 9° | 9% |
| The average | 19° | 13° | 13% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.