Minority Report

Bristol County, RI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bristol County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°100%
US model (GFS)56°40°92%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°98%
German model (ICON)56°43°85%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°99%
The average56°43°95%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 89%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°37°77%
US model (GFS)45°38°75%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°99%
German model (ICON)48°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°96%
The average46°38°89%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 14%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°20%
US model (GFS)47°35°6%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°8%
German model (ICON)46°35°13%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°21%
The average46°34°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.