Minority Report

Bristol, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Liberty County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)78°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°56°1%
German model (ICON)81°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°56°0%
The average79°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°38°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°0%
German model (ICON)67°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°0%
The average66°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°0%
US model (GFS)59°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°0%
The average59°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°1%
US model (GFS)65°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°0%
German model (ICON)65°36°2%
Canadian model (GEM)62°36°0%
The average64°39°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.