Minority Report

Broken Bow, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Custer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average44°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average46°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°5%
US model (GFS)48°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°2%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°17%
The average46°29°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°3%
US model (GFS)51°38°6%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°2%
German model (ICON)48°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°19%
The average49°34°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.