Minority Report

Brooklyn, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kings County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 49°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 95%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°80%
US model (GFS)60°48°94%
European model (ECMWF)59°50°100%
German model (ICON)60°50°100%
Canadian model (GEM)61°49°100%
The average60°49°95%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°39°96%
US model (GFS)48°37°95%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°98%
German model (ICON)50°39°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°100%
The average49°37°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°40°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°5%
German model (ICON)47°40°38%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°41%
The average46°37°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°0%
US model (GFS)47°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°2%
German model (ICON)49°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°0%
The average48°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.