Minority Report

Brooksville, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hernando County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 60°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—55°11%
US model (GFS)75°62°6%
European model (ECMWF)77°63°33%
German model (ICON)76°61°3%
Canadian model (GEM)77°61°6%
The average76°60°12%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 52°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°44°0%
US model (GFS)70°53°3%
European model (ECMWF)70°58°1%
German model (ICON)70°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°54°0%
The average70°52°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°0%
US model (GFS)61°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°0%
German model (ICON)63°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average62°42°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°52°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°1%
European model (ECMWF)69°45°0%
German model (ICON)70°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°41°0%
The average70°46°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.