Minority Report

Brookville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 56 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°48%
US model (GFS)52°39°25%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°46%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°81%
The average52°40°50%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 36%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°28%
US model (GFS)42°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°43%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°59%
The average44°34°36%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°32°2%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average46°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°2%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average48°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.