Minority Report

Brownfield, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Terry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)70°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°40°0%
German model (ICON)69°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°39°0%
The average70°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 42°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°43%
US model (GFS)67°42°4%
European model (ECMWF)67°42°0%
German model (ICON)65°42°5%
Canadian model (GEM)68°38°21%
The average67°42°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 48°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°47°64%
US model (GFS)65°46°61%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°94%
German model (ICON)63°51°73%
Canadian model (GEM)65°50°79%
The average64°48°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 43°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 18%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°2%
US model (GFS)63°49°26%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°27%
German model (ICON)59°45°25%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°10%
The average57°43°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.