Minority Report

Brownstown, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 39°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 56%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°25%
US model (GFS)53°38°33%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°82%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°86%
The average53°39°56%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 28%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°33%
US model (GFS)45°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°49%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°14%
The average45°34°28%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°0%
The average48°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.