Minority Report

Brownsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Edmonson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 30%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°6%
US model (GFS)56°39°27%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°43%
German model (ICON)57°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°14%
The average56°39°30%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°23%
US model (GFS)43°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°24%
German model (ICON)46°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°0%
The average45°34°12%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average50°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.