Minority Report

Brownsville, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cameron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 63°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—61°1%
US model (GFS)75°64°2%
European model (ECMWF)79°65°0%
German model (ICON)74°65°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°62°0%
The average76°63°1%

Friday, November 13

High 78°   Low 60°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°66°5%
US model (GFS)76°60°2%
European model (ECMWF)79°60°0%
German model (ICON)78°62°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°54°0%
The average78°60°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 79°   Low 67°   Rain 35%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°71°35%
US model (GFS)78°65°43%
European model (ECMWF)80°67°33%
German model (ICON)78°68°36%
Canadian model (GEM)81°63°26%
The average79°67°35%

Sunday, November 15

High 83°   Low 70°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 38%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service83°68°37%
US model (GFS)82°70°24%
European model (ECMWF)84°69°78%
German model (ICON)80°72°29%
Canadian model (GEM)86°71°20%
The average83°70°38%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.