Minority Report

Bryan, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Williams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°35%
US model (GFS)47°40°82%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)48°39°80%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°100%
The average48°38°79%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°13%
US model (GFS)40°31°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°47%
German model (ICON)42°31°23%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°13%
The average41°30°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°8%
US model (GFS)42°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average44°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°12%
US model (GFS)46°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average46°32°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.