Bryson City, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Swain County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 40° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 42° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 44° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 40° | 72% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 29° | 42% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 37° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 57% |
High 44° Low 26° Rain 43%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 99 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 24° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 29° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 28° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 20° | 96% |
| The average | 44° | 26° | 43% |
High 53° Low 24° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 26° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 24° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 14° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 24° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.