Minority Report

Buckhannon, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Upshur County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°74%
US model (GFS)50°42°61%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°100%
German model (ICON)50°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°100%
The average50°39°87%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 71%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°29%
US model (GFS)42°32°40%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°94%
German model (ICON)42°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°100%
The average43°32°71%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°31%
US model (GFS)40°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°20%
German model (ICON)42°31°40%
Canadian model (GEM)39°30°90%
The average41°30°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 92 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°16%
US model (GFS)42°35°5%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°6%
German model (ICON)44°35°15%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°97%
The average43°34°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.