Minority Report

Buckingham, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Buckingham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 44°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°13%
US model (GFS)68°45°13%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°33%
German model (ICON)67°43°60%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°0%
The average67°44°24%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°9%
US model (GFS)54°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°0%
German model (ICON)55°36°13%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average55°36°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°1%
US model (GFS)52°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average52°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°28°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.