Minority Report

Bucyrus, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°94%
US model (GFS)48°40°95%
European model (ECMWF)49°42°100%
German model (ICON)48°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°41°100%
The average48°40°98%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°29°55%
US model (GFS)40°33°57%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°88%
German model (ICON)41°33°43%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°91%
The average41°33°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°33°9%
US model (GFS)42°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)43°27°4%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)37°24°29%
The average41°29°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°1%
US model (GFS)44°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°0%
German model (ICON)46°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°27°0%
The average43°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.