Minority Report

Buena Vista, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Buena Vista city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 30 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°14%
US model (GFS)63°42°13%
German model (ICON)62°45°43%
Canadian model (GEM)63°45°24%
The average63°43°24%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°12%
US model (GFS)52°33°3%
German model (ICON)52°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average52°34°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°27°2%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average49°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°27°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°22°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.