Minority Report

Buffalo, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wright County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°0%
US model (GFS)40°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°2%
German model (ICON)39°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°0%
The average40°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°22°0%
US model (GFS)35°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°29°0%
German model (ICON)37°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°21°0%
The average37°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°29°0%
German model (ICON)41°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°19°0%
The average42°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°15°0%
The average46°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.