Minority Report

Buffalo, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dallas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average54°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°22°0%
US model (GFS)42°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average45°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°1%
US model (GFS)50°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°26°0%
German model (ICON)51°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°18°0%
The average49°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°5%
US model (GFS)53°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)52°30°0%
German model (ICON)55°28°4%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°5%
The average52°29°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.