Buffalo, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harding County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 30° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 0% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 0% |
High 52° Low 35° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 35° | 0% |
High 59° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 58° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 42° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 61° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 59° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.