Minority Report

Burke, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gregory County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°29°0%
German model (ICON)40°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°21°0%
The average40°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°20°0%
The average43°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°0%
The average46°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°36°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°6%
The average54°36°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.