Minority Report

Burkesville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cumberland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 42°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 54%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°22%
US model (GFS)58°44°13%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°100%
German model (ICON)57°44°55%
Canadian model (GEM)59°43°81%
The average58°42°54%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°45%
US model (GFS)44°34°18%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°82%
German model (ICON)45°36°18%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°29%
The average45°35°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 6%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°24%
The average49°30°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°26°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.