Minority Report

Burley, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cassia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)63°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°0%
German model (ICON)62°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°31°0%
The average61°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 35°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 24%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°38°83%
US model (GFS)62°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)63°36°12%
German model (ICON)65°38°20%
Canadian model (GEM)61°34°0%
The average63°35°24%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°55%
US model (GFS)49°39°78%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°100%
German model (ICON)50°35°80%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°75%
The average50°34°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°2%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°22°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.