Minority Report

Burlington, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kit Carson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)65°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°41°0%
German model (ICON)66°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°37°0%
The average65°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°1%
US model (GFS)62°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°35°0%
The average59°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°54%
US model (GFS)49°32°66%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°69%
German model (ICON)50°38°33%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°62%
The average48°35°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 34%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°8%
US model (GFS)44°40°26%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°43%
German model (ICON)42°38°36%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°59%
The average44°36°34%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.