Minority Report

Burlington, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coffey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°0%
The average54°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°3%
US model (GFS)50°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average50°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°13%
US model (GFS)54°39°11%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°4%
German model (ICON)52°34°11%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°19%
The average51°34°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.