Minority Report

Burlington, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Boone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 40°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°35%
US model (GFS)52°38°21%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°76%
German model (ICON)54°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°86%
The average53°40°55%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°49%
US model (GFS)43°32°17%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°65%
German model (ICON)45°35°53%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°71%
The average44°35°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°5%
The average46°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°0%
The average48°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.