Burlington, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chittenden County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 43° Low 34° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 38° | 86% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 39% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 38% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 32° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 15% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 11% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 84%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 30° | 69% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 36° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 38° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 36° | 84% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 84% |
High 42° Low 35° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 30° | 47% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 64% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 89% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 37° | 88% |
| The average | 42° | 35° | 72% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.