Minority Report

Burns, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harney County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°29°0%
US model (GFS)63°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°35°0%
German model (ICON)59°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average60°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 87%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°27°88%
US model (GFS)54°33°66%
European model (ECMWF)59°36°100%
German model (ICON)57°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°28°79%
The average56°32°87%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°31%
US model (GFS)47°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°4%
German model (ICON)50°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°10%
The average50°30°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°84%
US model (GFS)48°38°85%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°80%
German model (ICON)43°36°96%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°72%
The average45°34°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.