Minority Report

Burnsville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yancey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 78%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°55%
US model (GFS)51°39°51%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°100%
German model (ICON)53°40°85%
Canadian model (GEM)51°39°100%
The average51°38°78%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°58%
US model (GFS)39°32°37%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°100%
German model (ICON)40°34°53%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°96%
The average40°32°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 26°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°11%
US model (GFS)36°24°11%
European model (ECMWF)35°27°91%
German model (ICON)36°31°25%
Canadian model (GEM)35°26°89%
The average36°26°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°24°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°20°0%
The average44°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.