Burwell, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garfield County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 27° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 22° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 28° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 23° | 5% |
| The average | 44° | 27° | 1% |
High 44° Low 27° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 23° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 18° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 27° | 0% |
High 46° Low 28° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 27° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 30° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 25° | 11% |
| The average | 46° | 28° | 3% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 39° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 34° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 31° | 14% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 5% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.