Minority Report

Butler, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bates County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average53°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average46°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°1%
US model (GFS)50°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average50°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°3%
US model (GFS)55°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°29°10%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°5%
The average54°31°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.