Minority Report

Butte, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Silver Bow County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)57°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average58°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°4%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°0%
The average54°38°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 28%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°32%
US model (GFS)48°32°21%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°10%
German model (ICON)49°34°58%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°20%
The average50°32°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°3%
US model (GFS)45°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average47°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.