Minority Report

Byrdstown, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pickett County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 62%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°22%
US model (GFS)56°41°14%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°100%
German model (ICON)56°42°75%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°100%
The average56°40°62%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°50%
US model (GFS)42°35°31%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°92%
German model (ICON)42°36°20%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°46%
The average43°35°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°41%
German model (ICON)47°33°8%
Canadian model (GEM)46°26°43%
The average46°30°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.