Minority Report

Cadiz, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trigg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)59°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°33%
German model (ICON)59°38°15%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°10%
The average59°38°12%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°9%
US model (GFS)45°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°0%
The average47°33°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)51°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°26°0%
The average51°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°1%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°20°0%
The average54°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.