Minority Report

Cadiz, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harrison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 39°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°39%
US model (GFS)47°39°86%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°42°69%
The average47°39°79%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 17%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°26%
US model (GFS)41°32°15%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°19%
German model (ICON)42°32°20%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°5%
The average44°32°17%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°26%
US model (GFS)41°34°22%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°24%
German model (ICON)44°32°13%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°62%
The average43°32°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°6%
US model (GFS)43°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°14%
German model (ICON)47°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°51%
The average45°34°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.