Minority Report

Caguas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Caguas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 90°   Low 74°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 42%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—76°20%
US model (GFS)88°74°26%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°91%
German model (ICON)89°74°40%
Canadian model (GEM)92°73°33%
The average90°74°42%

Friday, November 13

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°76°30%
US model (GFS)88°75°23%
European model (ECMWF)87°77°45%
German model (ICON)89°78°15%
Canadian model (GEM)91°77°95%
The average89°77°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°75°40%
US model (GFS)88°75°20%
European model (ECMWF)87°78°81%
German model (ICON)90°80°8%
Canadian model (GEM)92°76°93%
The average89°77°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 73°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°74°2%
US model (GFS)88°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°75°1%
German model (ICON)90°72°10%
Canadian model (GEM)92°72°14%
The average89°73°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.