Minority Report

Calhoun, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McLean County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 38°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 22%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°2%
US model (GFS)56°38°23%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°25%
German model (ICON)56°37°45%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°14%
The average57°38°22%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°19%
US model (GFS)44°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°2%
German model (ICON)45°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°0%
The average46°33°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°19°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.