Minority Report

California, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Moniteau County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°0%
German model (ICON)50°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°5%
The average50°35°1%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°23°0%
US model (GFS)41°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)44°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°0%
The average43°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°17°0%
The average47°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°2%
US model (GFS)54°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average52°27°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.