Minority Report

Cambridge, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°1%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°4%
German model (ICON)45°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°33%
The average44°33°9%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°24°1%
US model (GFS)41°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°0%
The average41°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)44°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°22°0%
The average44°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°17°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.