Minority Report

Cambridge, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dorchester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 49°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 49%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°40%
US model (GFS)66°50°27%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°57%
German model (ICON)62°52°85%
Canadian model (GEM)66°50°38%
The average65°49°49%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°39°38%
US model (GFS)50°40°12%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°86%
German model (ICON)53°44°48%
Canadian model (GEM)52°45°48%
The average51°42°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°2%
US model (GFS)49°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°14%
German model (ICON)50°41°30%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°42%
The average49°40°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°39°0%
US model (GFS)50°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°43°6%
German model (ICON)52°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°46°0%
The average51°42°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.