Minority Report

Cambridge, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Guernsey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°55%
US model (GFS)49°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°100%
German model (ICON)52°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°100%
The average50°41°88%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°28%
US model (GFS)43°34°29%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°100%
German model (ICON)44°34°43%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°55%
The average45°34°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°28%
US model (GFS)44°34°29%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°18%
German model (ICON)45°31°13%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°39%
The average45°32°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°0%
German model (ICON)49°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°5%
The average47°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.