Minority Report

Camden, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ouachita County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°1%
US model (GFS)74°47°1%
European model (ECMWF)72°51°0%
German model (ICON)72°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°0%
The average73°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°32°0%
US model (GFS)58°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°0%
The average58°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°36°3%
US model (GFS)59°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average57°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 48%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 48%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°46%
US model (GFS)60°41°32%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°60%
German model (ICON)56°38°59%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°43%
The average56°40°48%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.