Minority Report

Camden, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Benton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)62°40°6%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°39%
German model (ICON)61°40°8%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°14%
The average61°39°13%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°0%
German model (ICON)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°0%
The average48°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average51°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°1%
US model (GFS)55°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°0%
The average55°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.