Minority Report

Campbellsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Taylor County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 62%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°34%
US model (GFS)54°43°24%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°92%
German model (ICON)56°43°80%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°82%
The average56°41°62%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°65%
US model (GFS)45°34°28%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°92%
German model (ICON)45°36°33%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°49%
The average45°34°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°7%
German model (ICON)47°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°10%
The average47°30°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.