Minority Report

Campton, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wolfe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°45%
US model (GFS)53°42°91%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°100%
The average54°41°87%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°62%
US model (GFS)45°33°41%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°84%
German model (ICON)44°38°85%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°67%
The average44°34°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°1%
US model (GFS)45°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°2%
German model (ICON)44°34°18%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°14%
The average45°32°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°0%
The average48°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.