Minority Report

Canadian, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hemphill County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)76°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°44°0%
German model (ICON)76°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°39°0%
The average76°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°37°2%
US model (GFS)60°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)58°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°0%
The average60°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°38°94%
US model (GFS)52°35°87%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°98%
German model (ICON)51°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)50°38°95%
The average51°39°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°39%
US model (GFS)47°42°89%
European model (ECMWF)44°42°94%
German model (ICON)43°41°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°95%
The average46°39°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.